Researching Regime Change

Tick, tick, tick

Belarus Man Goes Shopping For Beer With a Bag of Money (by MrBulkvidz) - Lukashenko works economic miracles… and turns money into… worthless paper!

OK, not quite like that, but you can imagine the conversation. “Hi, you are
auctioning an old TV set and a sugar bowl… How much for the bank itself? We make you good price”.

Lukashenko’s lost it - will just take some months to tip properly. Harsh winter with high bills? A big deal falling through? Inflation at 100%? no IMF loan?

Tick, tick, tick.

List of tactics for a dictator to stay in power:
- ban protests - check
- lock away all opposition - check
- install a corrupt parliament and other governance structures - check
- no free press - check
- dress up in funny hat and let your six-year old drive a tank - check
- be a crap governor of the economy and either steal the money yourself (not this guy), or be incompetent and end up with inflation at 70% - check
- stir up tension with neighbors (who won’t fight back to much) - underway
- get cancer and seek treatment in Cuba, Singapore or Saudi - to be done
- stop being a dictator, apologize to the nation, leave, go into business and make millions (even honestly) —— under consideration???

He knows the situation will get a lot worse for him, 70% inflation destroys people’s livelihoods and savings very quickly. No one will like Luka selling off the country to Russia, nor being the only country buying new nuclear power stations (also from Russia, so nice of them).

The challenge is that the average age of people in Belarus is 39 (may be 36, old anyway). There is not enough young energy to move this situation from a small number of protesters to the masses. Someone will find a way though.

The economic performance will impact everyone in Belarus - that should help to agitate people into wanting to make a significant change. Lukaschenko is clearly not up to the task as a leader. He was so focused on getting re-elected (in his pretend democracy) that he forgot that his actual job was to run the country and help improve people’s lives. He is an abject failure.

Yup, 50% inflation, no one wants to pay the ridiculous prices he sticks on state owned businesses, and not even the Russians playing ball on lending money.

The opposition need some cunning tactics :)

Lukaschenko has totally screwed up the economy. One of the reasons was his idiotic idea to boost government wages before the elections and boost government spending Why was it idiotic? He was planning to steal the election anyway, so why go through the bother of buying votes?

Personally, I still think the country is being run by his 6-year old son…